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    Home»Sports»Today’s best MLB pitcher strikeout props: Fade Phillies starter against Red Sox
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    Today’s best MLB pitcher strikeout props: Fade Phillies starter against Red Sox

    By Olivia CarterJuly 21, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read0 Views
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    Today's best MLB pitcher strikeout props: Fade Phillies starter against Red Sox
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    The Milwaukee Brewers look to extend their winning streak to 11 games when they visit the Seattle Mariners on Monday, July 21 for the opener of their three-game series. Milwaukee improved to 59-40, completed a three-game sweep and grabbed a share of first place in the National League Central with Sunday’s 6-5 triumph over the NL West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers. The Brewers are on their longest run since winning 11 straight from June 22-July 3 in 2021.

    Brandon Woodruff (1-0, 2.61 ERA) makes his third start of the season Monday after missing the first three months of 2025 due to ankle and elbow injuries. The 32-year-old right-hander worked six strong innings en route to victory against the Miami Marlins in his season debut on July 6 and registered 10 strikeouts across 4 1/3 frames in a no-decision against the Washington Nationals in his next outing.

    The Mariners counter with George Kirby (4-4, 4.50), who has won each of his last three starts. During that stretch, the 27-year-old righty has allowed only five runs while recording 20 strikeouts over 17 1/3 innings.

    The top sportsbooks have set the total strikeout player props for Woodruff (Over +123, Under -156) at 6.5 and Kirby (Over +116, Under -149) at 5.5. The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, rates Woodruff’s Over 6.5 strikeout prop as a 4-star play on its 5-star scale and Kirby’s Over 5.5 as a 3.5-star play. 

    However, the model has found better value on Monday’s 15-game schedule, as there is one pitcher strikeout player prop that it has rated at five stars and two at 4.5 stars that return plus money. Here they are:

    Zack Wheeler Under 8.5 strikeouts (-146) vs. Red Sox (6:45 p.m. ET)

    Rating: 5 stars
    Model projection: 6.9 strikeouts

    Wheeler is a Cy Young contender and leads the National League with 154 strikeouts but the SportsLine model doesn’t think he’s in a good spot to top his strikeouts prop line on Monday. The Phillies ace is coming off a rough outing against the San Diego Padres, where he gave up four runs in six innings and only had six strikeouts. Even though the Red Sox are one of the most strikeout-prone teams in baseball, ranking third in strikeouts this season, Wheeler has only punched out 21 batters in his three career appearances against Boston.

    Carlos Rodon Over 5.5 strikeouts (+119) vs. Blue Jays (7:07 p.m. ET)

    Rating: 4.5 stars
    Model projection: 6.4 strikeouts

    Rodon comes into Monday’s start against the Toronto Blue Jays on the back of eight scoreless innings against the Chicago Cubs, where the lefty struck out eight batters. Even though New York’s star has not topped 5.5 strikeouts in five of his last seven appearances, the SportsLine model believes he will get to six strikeouts in Toronto. The Blue Jays struck out 23 times in three matchups against Rodon last year, twice going Over 5.5 strikeouts.

    Noah Cameron Over 4.5 strikeouts (+117) vs. Cubs (8:05 p.m. ET)

    Rating: 4.5 stars
    Model projection: 5.2 strikeouts

    Cameron has amped it up this month, registering at least five strikeouts in each of his three outings after doing so just three times over his first nine major-league starts. The 26-year-old rookie southpaw fanned seven batters in as many innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 7 and matched his career high of eight strikeouts across 6 2/3 frames versus the New York Mets in his last turn. The Cubs don’t whiff much as they are fifth in the majors with 763 strikeouts, but they fanned eight times in Sunday’s loss to Boston, so Cameron may be catching them at the right time.

    Fade MLB Phillies pitcher props Red Sox Starter strikeout todays
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    Olivia Carter
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    Olivia Carter is a staff writer at Verda Post, covering human interest stories, lifestyle features, and community news. Her storytelling captures the voices and issues that shape everyday life.

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